Future work: present or link a more extensive abstract here.

David Reinstein, link to CV

While hundreds of billions of dollars are donated to charity each year, the effectiveness of these charities differ by orders of magnitude, even within similar categories. Furthermore, many individuals do not donate substantially even though they believe that the cost of saving a life is small.*

* In an exploratory survey, the median belief was that a life could be saved for under $40.

This raises two related questions:

1. “Why don’t we give more to the most effective charities and to those most in need?” and

2. “Why are we not more efficient with our giving choices?”

To address this, we must understand what drives giving choices, and perhaps, how people react to the presentation of charity-effectiveness information.**

** Do we need to understand “how people react to the presentation of charity-effectiveness information?” See discussion in fold below.

Our collaborative and dynamic synthesis considers this ‘puzzle.’ We outline and categorize potential barriers to effective giving and assess the evidence for each barrier. This directly informs “how to motivate effective giving.” It also offers insights into the drivers of ‘concern for’ and ‘willingness to act’ to address the most neglected, tractable, and consequential global and humanitarian priorities.

Why should ‘Effective Altruists’ and those interested in long-term global priorities care about the effective/ineffective giving behavior of ‘typical’ individuals? Notes for Global Priorities Institute presentation (unfold)

Private ‘small donor’ donations are a substantial part of the global economy (100s of Billions)…

… but most/much seems orders of magnitude less effective by any reasonable (cosmopolitan) consideration. Bold research and action into global priorities is and will be largely funded by private giving.

How much private charitable giving is there? About $300b/year from the US alone (note appropriate caveats here; much of this goes to local ‘club goods’ like churches etc). (TODO: add some citations here, and give an overview of donation by ‘mega-donors’ versus the lay-person; see, e.g., recent paper by Meer et al.)

How does this compare to the ‘available pot of EA funds?’ GoodVentures spent 272 million USD in 2019, GiveWell ‘directed’ roughly 161 mln/year (Indirect source – EA Forum post here

Giving is also an important metric for beliefs and attitudes:

‘(Lack of) effective giving (choices)’ = a concrete, tangible, incentive-aligned measure of ‘concern for’ and ‘willingness to act’ towards neglected/tractable/consequential global priorities, including long-term well-being and existential threats.

Drivers and barriers to effective giving are also drivers/barriers to effective pro-social personal, professional and political choices.

In 2014, Ben Todd of 80,000 hours rated ‘Promoting effective altruism’ as tied for first-place in Importance, Tractibility and “Uncrowdedness” among 11 ranked causes, noting that ‘interventions within this area include advocacy of key ideas in effective altruism and network-building.’ This is at least adjacent to promoting effective charitable giving.

Relation to GPI research:

  1. Knowing priorities is only helpful if we can motivate people to care about them and take action.

  2. Knowing the ‘barriers’ requires a clear definition of the priorities.

  3. The ‘enlightement project,’ which involves overcoming many of these barriers, may itself be a priority, e.g., in preventing existential risk.

Non-technical abstract (for mainstream audiences)

Hunger, homelessness, mental and physical illness, environmental degradation, the suffering of humans and animals, the risks of human extinction: the needs are boundless, but the resources to solve these problems are limited. Even with the best of intentions and impressive generosity (Americans give roughly 2% of their income to charity), donors often contribute to inefficient charities – ones that spend more but accomplish less than others that may be competing for the same funds.** Each dollar given to the most effective charities (like those rated by Givewell.org) benefits greater numbers of people in more significant ways than the least effective ones. However, donors do not always consider effectiveness when deciding how much to give and to which organizations.

** This holds even for charities pursuing similar goals; some are clearly more impactful per-dollar, even (presumably) by the lights and standards of the donors.

Academics (in Economics, Psychology, Biology, and Philosophy) have applied a range of theories to explain what drives “inefficient altruism.” Evidence comes from a variety of studies, involving surveys, observational work, laboratory experiments, and, where feasible, natural field experiments. These have not been run as part of a systematic project addressing this issue; goals, contexts, and approaches have varied as opportunities presented. Given the disparate findings, we do not have a definitive picture of which factors impact effective giving.

0.2 Discussions

For ‘Effective Altruists’ … (Why) do we care ‘how people react to the presentation of charity-effectiveness information’ from a practical point of view? (unfold discussion)

Jason Schukraft:

Maybe. I suppose it depends on our goals. Do we want people to give to top charities for the right reason (i.e., because those charities are effective) or do we just want people to give to top charities, simpliciter? If the latter, then maybe it doesn’t matter how people react to effectiveness information; we should just go with whatever marketing strategy maximizes donations.

David Reinstein:

Imho only the latter matters. Your argument makes sense but a typical marketing tool we find could equally be used by any charity. If we are ever to get people to systematically prioritise the effective charities, we need to a strategy that is tied to the effectiveness of the charities; the competitive advantage of the effective charities. The standard business argument is that ‘to get people to buy a product based on characteristic A, we need to advertise characteristic A.’

Michael Aird:

I think another point similar to David’s is: If we use means other than cost-effectiveness information in order to get people to give to the charities we think are most cost-effective, then this positive outcome is “brittle” in a few ways:

We might be wrong about relative cost-effectiveness (in fact, we almost certainly are to at least some extent). If we were focusing on cost-effectiveness, that probably increases the chance that someone else realises we’re wrong and then makes a decision more in line with our principles than the specific decision we’d recommend, and/or gives us useful feedback.

Which charities are (believed to be) most cost-effective will probably change over time. We’d like our old arguments to help people update, without us needing a new campaign that pushes a different angle (maybe moving from making malaria sound scary to making fish seem cute, or whatever).

If we don’t focus on our actual reasons for our beliefs, those alternative reasons might happen to push in favour of some charities that aren’t actually great. E.g., some other charity that’s superficially similar to AMF, but less well-run or focusing on a country where marginal improvements cost more.

(But I do think that, even given that, it’ll probably sometimes be best to promote charities in ways that don’t emphasise things strongly relevant to their cost-effectiveness.)

This also feels reminiscent of two posts:

CEA - the-fidelity-model-of-spreading-idea

SlateStarCodex: guided-by-the-beauty-of-our-weapons

0.3 Notes on this format

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